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Causality, Probability, and Time
Causality in Various Fields
Causality is a key part of many fields and facets of life, from finding the relationship between diet and disease to discovering the reason for a particular stock market crash.
Challenges in Automated Inference and Explanation
Despite centuries of work in philosophy and decades of computational research, automated inference and explanation remains an open problem. In particular, the timing and complexity of relationships has been largely ignored even though this information is critically important for prediction, explanation and intervention.
The Practical Necessity
However, given the growing availability of large observational datasets including those from electronic health records and social networks, it is a practical necessity.
Introducing a New Approach
This book presents a new approach to inference (finding relationships from a set of data) and explanation (assessing why a particular event occurred), addressing both the timing and complexity of relationships.
Case Studies and Demonstrations
The practical use of the method developed is illustrated through theoretical and experimental case studies, demonstrating its feasibility and success.